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We asked Musk today how many orders will be fulfilled by the end of 2021 and will update this article if we get a response. Musk has said the capacity limits will primarily be a problem in densely populated urban areas, so rural people should have a good chance at getting service. Musk said in May that the first 500,000 people will “most likely” get service but that SpaceX will face “ore of a challenge when we get into the several million user range.” There are capacity limits imposed by the laws of physics, and SpaceX hasn’t guaranteed that every person who preordered will actually get Starlink. First 500,000 to order will “likely” get service
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It is still possible to place preorders and submit $99 deposits at the Starlink website, but the site notes that “epending on location, some orders may take 6 months or more to fulfill.” The deposits are fully refundable. The company has been taking preorders for post-beta service and said in May that “over half a million people have placed an order or put down a deposit for Starlink.” SpaceX has said it is serving over 100,000 Starlink users in a dozen countries from more than 1,700 satellites. But for people in areas where wired ISPs have never deployed cable or fiber, Starlink is still a promising alternative, and service should improve as SpaceX launches more satellites and refines its software. The service is far from perfect, as trees can disrupt the line-of-sight connections to satellites and the satellite dishes go into “ thermal shutdown” in hot areas. SpaceX began sending email invitations to Starlink’s public beta in October 2020. Musk provided the answer of “ next month” in response to a Twitter user who asked when Starlink will come out of beta. SpaceX’s Starlink satellite-broadband service will emerge from beta in October, CEO Elon Musk said last night.
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Enlarge / Screenshot from the Starlink order page, with the street address blotted out.